Winning a Bad Beat Jackpot?

  • Author: Kristofer
  • Filed under: kristofer
  • Date: Aug 10,2008

Winning a Bad Beat Jackpot - How possible is that?

There is some lucky guy out there who knows. He won the biggest BB-Jackpot ever on the site Absolute poker, whilst he was playing just a 0.5/1 Limit Hold’Em table(!). The pot in which both players hit their straight flushes of spades ended up at just around $20 but the insane amount for the bonus was $821,670.69!!!

Talk about The Return Of Investment for the players seated at the lucky table.

It came to my attention this week that there is a movie about it on the internet, and of course I just had to check it out.

Actually, Absolute poker did beat this record themselves with an even bigger BB-Jackpot later on, this time the amount was more than the $900k mark.

Why do I have a feeling these things will never happen to me?

Maybe because of this table, take a look at these insane odds:

Following are the rules for a type 1 bad beat:
1. Both the bad beat and the winning hand must be the best possible combination of five cards. In cases where the same hand can be created in multiple ways (for example player has AK and the board shows AAKKQ) the player’s hole cards will take priority.
2. Both the bad beat and the winning hand must make use of both hole cards.
3. A full house must be beaten by a four of a kind or higher.
The rules for a type 2 bad beat are the same as type 1, plus any four of a kind, whether the bad beat hand or winning hand, must contain a pocket pair.
The rules for a type 3 bad beat are the same as type 2, plus a full house may not make use of a three of a kind entirely on the board.

Bad Beat Probabilities

Bad Beat Hand

Type 1

Type 2

Type 3

Any full house

0.00203329

0.00050305

0.00049508

Full house, three 3’s or higher

0.00189512

0.00046978

0.00046204

Full house, three 4’s or higher

0.00175159

0.00043444

0.00042728

Full house, three 5’s or higher

0.00160333

0.00039706

0.00039028

Full house, three 6’s or higher

0.00144965

0.00035741

0.00035145

Full house, three 7’s or higher

0.0012936

0.00031767

0.00031266

Full house, three 8’s or higher

0.00113492

0.00027775

0.00027355

Full house, three 9’s or higher

0.00097379

0.00023772

0.00023445

Full house, three T’s or higher

0.00081113

0.00019759

0.00019503

Full house, three J’s or higher

0.00064763

0.00015708

0.00015509

Full house, three Q’s or higher

0.00048533

0.00011838

0.00011682

Full house, three K’s or higher

0.00032561

0.00008130

0.00008033

Full house, three A’s or higher

0.00016964

0.00004608

0.00004579

Full house, aces full of 3’s or higher

0.00016004

0.00004350

0.00004322

Full house, aces full of 4’s or higher

0.00014986

0.00004080

0.00004052

Full house, aces full of 5’s or higher

0.00013898

0.00003797

0.00003763

Full house, aces full of 6’s or higher

0.00012749

0.00003504

0.00003469

Full house, aces full of 7’s or higher

0.00011580

0.00003233

0.00003203

Full house, aces full of 8’s or higher

0.00010347

0.00002957

0.00002925

Full house, aces full of 9’s or higher

0.00009067

0.00002673

0.00002645

Full house, aces full of T’s or higher

0.00007714

0.00002383

0.00002359

Full house, aces full of J’s or higher

0.00006286

0.00002064

0.0000204

Full house, aces full of Q’s or higher

0.00004793

0.00001738

0.00001721

Full house, aces full of K’s or higher

0.00003230

0.00001408

0.00001402

Any four of a kind

0.00001601

0.00001086

0.00001081

Four 3’s or higher

0.00001437

0.00000996

0.00000992

Four 4’s or higher

0.0000127

0.00000900

0.00000902

Four 5’s or higher

0.00001099

0.00000805

0.00000804

Four 6’s or higher

0.00000934

0.00000705

0.00000707

Four 7’s or higher

0.0000078

0.00000613

0.00000611

Four 8’s or higher

0.0000064

0.00000525

0.00000519

Four 9’s or higher

0.00000519

0.00000439

0.00000435

Four T’s or higher

0.00000414

0.00000359

0.00000357

Four J’s or higher

0.00000317

0.00000287

0.00000285

Four Q’s or higher

0.00000246

0.00000226

0.00000224

Four K’s or higher

0.00000193

0.00000180

0.00000179

Four A’s or higher

0.00000157

0.00000149

0.00000147

Any straight flush

0.0000012

0.00000122

0.00000121

Straight flush 6 high or higher

0.00000105

0.00000107

0.00000105

Straight flush 7 high or higher

0.00000089

0.00000091

0.00000090

Straight flush 8 high or higher

0.00000073

0.00000074

0.00000074

Straight flush 9 high or higher

0.00000056

0.00000059

0.00000058

Straight flush T high or higher

0.00000041

0.00000043

0.00000042

Straight flush J high or higher

0.00000028

0.00000027

0.00000027

Straight flush Q high or higher

0.00000012

0.00000012

0.00000012

Source: http://wizardofodds.com/holdem/badbeat.html

So guys, the video you have been waiting for, WOW look at the amount of chips!

-Kristofer



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